In a normal year, it might spell disaster.
But this has hardly been a normal year.
I still think both films have a solid chance to win the top prize on Feb. 24.

Credit: Patti Perret/Universal
First, some history about those so-called snubs.
So yes, its rare.
But there is precedent.
Dont count either one out yet.
More interesting is the question: Why didnt Farrelly or Cooper get tapped?
Theres a host of possible reasons.
But lets start with the most obvious one.
Thats just simple math…and the least thorny part of this.
In other words, dues must be paid, nothing can come too easily.
Then theres the gotcha-politics angle that always find its way into Oscar season.
Taken together, these incidents caused the sort of nightmare P.R.
perfect storm that can be tough to ride out, even with the best spin doctoring money can buy.
It certainly didnt help his cause.
But, as someone who really likedGreen Book(and included it as No.
Someone alotof people, actually clearly likes this movie.
And theyre not wrong to like it or be moved by it.
That sort of judgement smacks of condescension even if does makes a juicy subject for Op-Ed hot takes.
have embracedGreen Bookprecisely because its perceived white-savior storyline is under siege by the left.
This feels like a huge stretch.
Personally, I dont think thatGreen BookorA Star Is Bornwas the best film of 2018.
Ill be rooting forThe FavouriteorRoma.